Research

My research lies at the intersection of extreme value theory, stochastic processes, time series, and asymptotic statistics. I am particularly interested in how nonstandard dependence structures affect both statistical inference and probabilistic models for rare events.

Extremes in long memory time series

Long-range dependence creates persistent extremal dependence that falls outside many of the mixing and anti-clustering frameworks commonly used in extreme value theory. My work develops reduction principles and central limit theory for threshold-based statistics in long memory linear processes, including the Hill estimator, tail empirical processes, and serial tail-dependence estimators.

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Stationary models for extremal processes

I study particle system constructions of stationary max-infinitely divisible processes. Random, state-dependent time changes of the underlying particles make it possible to modify the temporal dependence structure of the resulting max-id processes while preserving stationarity and the limiting max-stable process. This connects techniques from the theory of Markov processes, Poisson particle systems, and extreme value theory.

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